
Potential Radioactive Fallout Across the Continental United States

(Click to enlarge) Continental US Fallout Pattern for Prevailing Winds
To check the
precise daily jet stream map,
click here.
North Korea
detonated an underground nuke on May 25, 2009. I have detected
no radiation from that test, nor is any expected. However, the
North Koreans also unilaterally repudiated the 1953 cease fire
agreement and thus we are technically at war again. On May 31,
2009, North Korea began moving an ICBM to a launch pad. Very
bad news. I will be checking for radiation frequently when
hostilities begin. This is the most
commonly used prevailing wind predicted fallout pattern, but
remember, fallout can go anywhere or everywhere (and probably will).
I will update this site
continually if needed, so you will at least have a clue what is
headed your way.
Due to the possibility of
a war with Iran or North Korea that could well include nuclear weapons, I do check
my radiation meters and they are reading normal background
radiation only.
Date: May 31, 2009
Time: 3:00 PM
HOT SPOT: none
(R/hr);
Survey Meter Reading: Normal
background
Dosimeter accumulation: None
(Roentgens)
Elapsed time of dosimeter recording:
|
"Hot Spot" readings are different from "background" readings. In the
event of large particle tertiary fallout, a single particle per
square meter can produce a reading many times greater than the
background reading, as measured in Roentgens per hour (R/hr).
Neither of those methods of measuring radioactivity involve an
accumulated dose of radiation -- which requires the use of a
dosimeter. All of these reading are critical in determining the rate
of radioactive decay, and thus the time required to stay indoors as
well as the amount and type of shielding required.
Look at the jet stream map above. I live about 30 miles from Cape
Blanco, the farthest west point on the map in SW Oregon. Check the
daily jet
stream map and you will know if you are downwind from my
location; my readings may not be precise for your particular area,
but at least for tertiary fallout you will have some clue as to what
is heading your way via the jet stream.
I will update this page as frequently as
required if I detect tertiary fallout.
|
|
Nuclear War Survival booklet, by Miles Stair
- $3.95 |
|
|
All Seven (7) Booklets - Print Edition (See list
here) - $17.95 |
|
|
All seven of my booklets are revised, expanded
and with many color photographs, all in Adobe Acrobat 7.0. Plus
Bonus Books:
All seven of my booklets,
revised and expanded, with many
new color photographs.
PLUS THE FOLLOWING
FREE BONUS BOOKS!!!
8. "Family
Shelter Designs" - Office of Civil Defense,
30 pages.
9.
EMP - How EMP could be employed against the US.
10.
EMP - Practical Protection, by Miles Stair.
11.
Nuclear War Survival Skills
book by Cresson Kearney.
12. Recovery from Nuclear
Attack, 24 pages.
13.
Survival and Austere Medicine
- full 213 page ebook.
14.
Infection Control for Viral Haemorrhagic Fevers, 210
pages. 15.
Emergency Food and Water Supplies.
16. Disinfecting Exposed Surfaces.
17. Preparing for the Coming Influenza
Pandemic
18. Versatile mini kerosene heaters you
can make.
19. Circular wick reading lamps - care
and feeding of.
20. Kerosene
heaters and stoves - photos, uses. 21.
Nuclear
Weapons Effects; 37 pages. 22.
Defense
Against Toxic Weapons; 60 pages. 23.
Field
Management of Chemical Casualties Handbook; 129 pages. 24.
Medical
Management of Biological Casualties; 182 pages. 25.
Medical
Aspects of Chemical and Biological Warfare, US Military;
5,374 pages!
PLUS SEVEN PREP BOOKLETS FROM FEMA!
|
|
Booklets and Bonus
material
on CD only $14.95
+S&H |
|
Addressing the Unthinkable, U.S. Revives Study
of Fallout
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/03/19/national/19NUKE.html
By WILLIAM J. BROAD, New York Times
March 19, 2004
To cope with the possibility that terrorists
might someday detonate a nuclear bomb on American soil, the federal
government is reviving a scientific art that was lost after the cold
war: fallout analysis.
The goal, officials and weapons experts both inside and outside the
government say, is to figure out quickly who exploded such a bomb
and where the nuclear material came from. That would clarify the
options for striking back. Officials also hope that if terrorists
know a bomb can be traced, they will be less likely to try to use
one.
In a secretive effort that began five years ago but whose outlines
are just now becoming known, the government's network of weapons
laboratories is hiring new experts, calling in old-timers, dusting
off data and holding drills to sharpen its ability to do what is
euphemistically known as nuclear attribution or post-event
forensics.
It is also building robots that would go into an affected area and
take radioactive samples, as well as field stations that would
dilute dangerous material for safe shipment to national
laboratories.
"Certainly, there's a frightening aspect in all of this," said
Charles B. Richardson, the project leader for nuclear identification
research at the Sandia National Laboratories in Albuquerque. "But
we're putting all these things together with the hope that they'll
never have to be used."
Most experts say the risk of a terrorist nuclear attack is low but
no longer unthinkable, given the spread of material and know-how
around the globe.
Dr. Jay C. Davis, a nuclear scientist who in 1999 helped found the
Pentagon's part of the government wide effort, said the precautions
would "pay huge dividends after the event, both in terms of the
ability to identify the bad actor and in terms of establishing
public trust."
In a nuclear crisis, Dr. Davis added, the identification effort
would be vital in "dealing with the desire for instant gratification
through vengeance."
Vice President Dick Cheney was briefed on the program last fall, Dr.
Davis said. The National Security Council coordinates the work among
a dozen or so federal agencies.
The basic science relies on faint clues -- tiny bits of radioactive
fallout, often invisible to the eye, that under intense scrutiny can
reveal distinctive signatures. Such wisps of evidence can help
identify an exploded bomb's type and characteristics, including its
country of origin.
Solving the nuclear whodunit could take much more information,
including hard-won law enforcement clues and good intelligence on
foreign nuclear arms and terrorist groups. For that reason, several
federal agencies are involved in the program, among them the
Department of Homeland Security and the Federal Bureau of
Investigation.
The program addresses true nuclear weapons as well as so-called
dirty bombs, ordinary explosives that spew radioactive debris.
"It's a very hard job," said William Happer, a physicist at
Princeton who led a panel that evaluated the identification work.
Mr. Happer said he was worried that a rush for retribution after a
nuclear attack might cut short the time needed for careful analysis.
"If we lose a city," he said, "we might not wait around that long."
The effort to fingerprint domestic nuclear blasts is part of a
larger federal project to strengthen the nation's overall defenses
against unconventional terrorist threats. Mostly, the goal is
prevention. For instance, the government recently sent teams of
scientists with hidden radiation detectors to check major American
cities for signs that terrorists might be preparing to detonate
radiological bombs.
In contrast, the identification program seeks to increase the
government's knowledge and options should prevention fail. "We're
trying to resurrect some of our capability," said Reid Worlton, a
retired nuclear scientist from the Los Alamos weapons laboratory in
New Mexico who has been called in to aid the fallout endeavor. "It
sort of died. They're not doing radiochemistry on nuclear tests
anymore, so it's hard to keep these people around."
The effort draws on work that began at the dawn of the atomic era.
Scientists working on the Manhattan Project built an array of
devices to monitor nuclear blasts in the New Mexico desert in July
1945 and at Hiroshima and Nagasaki a month later. The experience
helped scientists learn what to look for.
The first hunt zeroed in on the Soviet Union. In the late 1940's,
military weather planes used paper filters to gather dust particles
around the periphery of Russia, and scientists in the United States
who analyzed the data at first sounded dozens of false alarms, said
Jeffrey T. Richelson, an intelligence expert in Washington.
Then, on Sept. 3, 1949, a weather plane flying from Japan to Alaska
picked up a slew of atomic particles. "That was the real thing," Mr.
Richelson said. Twenty days later, President Harry S. Truman
announced that the Soviets had exploded their first nuclear device.
The ranks of fallout investigators swelled during the cold war as
foreign nations conducted hundreds of atmospheric nuclear tests. By
all accounts, the sleuths made many important discoveries about the
nature and design of foreign nuclear arms.
In time, the ranks dwindled as more and more nations decided to move
their test explosions underground, eliminating fallout. The last
nuclear blast to pummel the earth's atmosphere was in 1980, and the
last known underground test, conducted by Pakistan, was in 1998.
As the terrorist threat rose in the 1990's, the government began to
consider the quandary that would arise if a nuclear weapon exploded
on American soil. In 1999, Dr. Davis, then head of the Defense
Threat Reduction Agency at the Pentagon, began an effort to address
the identification problem by financing research at the nation's
weapons laboratories, many of them run by the Energy Department.
The first money came in late 2000, Dr. Davis said, and the attacks
of September 2001 "made it clear that a very organized event on a
large scale was credible." That perception, he said, helped the
effort expand.
The secretive work won rare public praise in a June 2002 report
("Making the Nation Safer") from the National Research Council of
the National Academies, the country's leading scientific advisory
group. Having the ability to find out who launched a domestic
nuclear strike, the report said, could deter attackers and bolster
threats of retaliation. The report urged that the program go into
operation "as quickly as practical" and that the government publicly
declare its existence.
Since then, weapons laboratories and other federal agencies have
worked hard on the problem. "They're making progress but they've got
a ways to go," said Mr. Worlton, the retired Los Alamos scientist.
In a drill this year, dozens of federal experts in fallout analysis
met at the Sandia laboratories in Albuquerque to study a simulated
terrorist nuclear blast. Mr. Worlton said they were broken into
teams and given radiological data from two old American nuclear
tests, whose identities remained hidden, and were instructed to try
to name them. Some teams succeeded, he said.
Mr. Richardson of Sandia said the laboratory was developing a land
robot that could roll up to 10 miles to sample fallout and return it
to human operators for analysis. It could also radio back some
results if it became stuck. Mr. Richardson said the robots, now in
development, are to be ready in a couple of years.
Experts say a new aircraft for atmospheric sampling of nuclear
fallout is also in development. The Air Force currently has one, the
WC-135W Constant Phoenix, for such work. It was first deployed in
1965.
Weapons experts say getting samples fast is important because some
radioactive debris can decay rapidly. If captured quickly, they can
shed light on a weapon's design.
One way of trying to identify a bomb's origin positively, several
experts say, is to match debris signatures with libraries of
classified data about nuclear arms around the world, including old
fallout signatures and more direct intelligence about bomb types,
characteristics and construction materials.
"If you're talking about a stolen device, you might try to do that,"
Mr. Richardson said. "But if it's improvised, that's less likely to
work. It might not look like things you've seen before."
A further complication is that even knowing who made a bomb may say
little about who detonated it. In a 1991 Tom Clancy novel, "The Sum
of All Fears," Islamic terrorists find and rebuild an Israeli
nuclear weapon and set it off at the Super Bowl.
Federal experts say complex threat scenarios (for instance, an
American warhead being stolen and detonated in an American city)
mean that many types of intelligence might be needed for successful
identification. Over all, it is unclear how much money the
government is spending on the effort.
Private experts offered suggestions for improvement. Dr. Happer of
Princeton, who heads a university board that helps oversee campus
research, said the program might be cooperating too little with
nuclear allies. "It's to our advantage," he said, "for all of us to
share."
Dr. Davis, the former head of the Defense Threat Reduction Agency,
made several policy recommendations last April in an article for The
Journal of Homeland Security. He said the F. B. I. should lead the
program, presidentially appointed overseers should guide it, goals
should be set for how long analyses should take and legal issues of
prosecution should be examined.
In an interview, Dr. Davis said his suggestions had made little
headway, partly because of the topic's grisly nature. "This is an
ugly subject because your best effort is going to be barely
adequate," he said. "That's not the kind of phrase people like to
hear."
Mr. Richardson of Sandia said that the attribution effort had made
good technical progress and had already some ability to identify an
attacker.
"We're hoping for deterrence," he said. "We don't want anybody to
think they can get away with it."
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/03/19/national/19NUKE.html
And the reason for this "secretive effort that
began five years ago but whose outlines are just now becoming known"
was actually published in the UK just days after the post above was
published. It can happen here, which is why I wrote the
booklet "Evacuation and Relocation," and
why I wrote what is listed on the War
Preparations page on this web site.
Dirty bomb victims 'may be shot'
http://news.scotsman.com/uk.cfm?id=547552003
JOHN INNES, March 15, 2004
POLICE could be forced to shoot members of the public to maintain
order in the event of a terrorist "dirty bomb" or biological attack
on Britain, it was claimed yesterday.
The Police Federation annual conference in Blackpool was told that
so few officers have been trained to deal with a chemical,
biological, nuclear or radiological strike that they would have to
resort to "very unsavoury but necessary" crowd control.
Bob Elder, the chairman of the constables’ central committee, did
not refer specifically to officers firing on civilians, but sources
within the organisation said it was clear police could have to
resort to firearms to stop contamination being spread by fleeing
victims.
The government had failed to explain how important it would be to
keep the public inside a cordon after such an atrocity, Mr Elder
said.
"This is not about creating mass hysteria," he said. "This is about
the opposite. The public has a right to know.
"The natural reaction from the public caught up in such an incident
will be to get as far away from the scene as possible. This could,
of course, only extend the problem."
In another reference to the possible use of firearms to keep control
of an area, Mr Elder added: "We will be the ones who would have to
carry out that containment and we would be the ones held responsible
for our actions - whatever those may be."
Asked if he could foresee officers firing on civilians, he said:
"It’s an option the government is going to have to consider. We
haven’t got enough cops trained to deal with full-scale containment
and it’s putting everyone at risk."
A spokesman for the Home Office insisted police would not have
powers to shoot the public to enforce a cordon in the event of a
chemical, biological, nuclear or radiological strike attack.
"Police have the right to detain people if they present a risk to
the public," he said. "There are no circumstances in which police
could operate some kind of shoot to kill policy under the law."
|
| |
|
|
| |